Christopher Hodge, Head US Economist at Natixis CIB, suggests that if Donald Trump becomes president again, he will face significant constraints that will limit his ability to implement his promises, particularly regarding tariffs and fiscal policy. Both major parties are contributing to rising US debt, which could become critical by 2032, and the increasing use of the dollar in sanctions may undermine its status as a reserve currency. Hodge believes that the realities of governance will temper Trump's more extreme proposals, leading to a more cautious approach to both domestic and foreign policy.
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